/ 09 June 2022

Recession will be “hard to avoid” for many countries

David Malpass world bank

That’s according to the World Bank, which has warned that all countries face the prospect of a sustained economic downturn the longer the Ukraine war continues. The bank downgraded its 2022 global economic growth outlook to 2.9% – down from January’s forecast of 4.1% when a bounce out of COVID was the main game. These days, President David Malpass says “the war in Ukraine, lockdowns in China, supply-chain disruptions and the risk of stagflation” are the big issues. Stagflation – the combination of high inflation/unemployment and low growth – hasn’t really been a thing since the 1970s, so yikes… Meanwhile, Australian Treasury Secretary Steven Kennedy says the new Albanese Government needs to curb spending on some election promises and tighten taxes on companies/the wealthy to get government debt under control (paywall). He says inflation is on track to rise “potentially well above 6%” this year.

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